Obama rolling plan: Change the Assad regime .. Is it succeed?!

Abdel Bari Atwan

U.S. military intervention in Syria has already begun two years ago, at least through the experts and the CIA "CIA " who were present in the centers near the Syrian-Turkish border , and the charge of overseeing the distribution of weapons to the opposition Syrian armed to prevent them from falling into the hands of jihadist groups .
In the past two days was the announcement of sending the first batch of members of the Syrian special forces , which received extensive training at the hands of the CIA itself in the special rules in Jordan , to carry out acts of sabotage in the rear to confuse the Syrian regime and hit its public facilities .
U.S. President Barack Obama is well aware of all these activities of the security services of U.S. into the ocean Syrian and limbs , as knows maneuvers Assad Almtahb that took place in Jordan, also with the participation of forces tracking to more than 17 countries, near the southern border under the title of military intervention to secure the stores of chemical weapons in Syria.
What we want to say that the preparations for the invasion of Syria , directly or indirectly, were made before the issue of the use of chemical weapons in the Ghouta Damascus Eastern twenty months at least, when President Obama and his allies, the Arabs and the Israelis contend that the days of President Assad are numbered , and that he should go.
In his televised speech two days before revealed President Obama's equivocation about a scenario intervention intended to be applied in Syria, the short term wants air strikes and missile limited to override the effectiveness of weapons system chemical and prevent their use respite again, either in the long term Vtzlih opposition to weapons of modern sophisticated and strengthen their capacities thus military .
Arguably, very briefly , and objective basis for President Obama is regime change in Syria, similar to what happened in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya , but this request authorization from Congress to do the job within sixty days can be extended for thirty days extra.
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Obama was able to guide the missile strikes quick and limited time and space, without going to Congress, and without even send five warships equipped with cruise missiles as well as nuclear submarines , and move the aircraft carriers near the beaches Syrian , but he is looking forward to what is broader than that, he does not want to bear the sole responsibility of the results in the event of sparking the war, or that Congress relieve him of them entirely and give him a ladder to descend from a tree lines Rouge, and the last choice is what really looking forward to him .
Prospects for the approval of the U.S. Congress on Obama 's plans for military intervention is greater than the likelihood of rejection , and in the second case it is unlikely that the Arab forces , Jordan and Saudi Arabia in particular, to enter the Syrian territory protected by U.S. air cover .
Regime change in Iraq, Afghanistan and Libya, not only after the invasion of land , and perhaps Libya is the anomaly is relatively on the base , despite the fact that the special forces of Jordan and Qatar are entered Tripoli and barracks Azizia after intense bombardment of the rules of the military , and will not be surprising if they were repeating the same thing .
Libya did not have an army, strong or weak, because Colonel Gaddafi dissolved twenty years ago in fear of his coup on his regime , and the Iraqi army exhausted in the bombing of a U.S. air and suffocating siege lasted 13 years, and fly zones and the siege of the north and south , while the Taliban was by virtue of very advanced military expertise used tanks Khafelat to the transfer of the Mujahideen, and sits on the surface and was reminiscent of aspects level trains and rural areas in Egypt.
Syrian army may differ a little or a lot, which in all cases supported by the State of strong regional is Iran, a major global is Russia , it is true that President Vladimir Putin announced yesterday a freeze on sale of missiles "S 300" for the Syrian regime , but confirmed reports confirmed the occupation of this army rockets ياخونت the 800P very sophisticated anti-ship missiles , it will be unlikely that surprised to see the ships Bjria امريكة sink into the sea off the Syrian coast , just as Hezbollah rockets flooded barge اسرائيلة of in front of the coast of Lebanon during the war of July 2006.
We do not know the Syrian defense capabilities in the field of anti-aircraft missiles , but several studies indicated that the recent Israeli raids on targets Syria's main objective was to test these capabilities in addition to embarrass the Syrian regime and provoked to engage in confrontations early and is calculated.
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It surprises war , war candidate out by the Department of goals stated Ltd. , and the transition to a major war may include the entire region.
 Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, I think it's in cooperation with the inspectors , and the absorption of U.S. strikes could avoid its collapse, and thus remain in power , a belief that proved to be his health, nor must the Syrian president and his allies, the Russians and the Iranians and their arms in Lebanon aware of this fact change the system wholesale or in installments, Their response may be " suicide " on any U.S. aggression .
Obama tremble in fear, and tried and tries to recruit military option but يلاحقه , and assumption that Arab countries allied to him more Artaada and horror of it , but it wants war and knocks طبولها , and is preparing to open the front Jordan for the start of the units of the military invasion of Syria.
Reply to U.S. aggression would be inevitable, though not in the sky for the land , and countless number of goals , both in occupied Palestine or countries that will participate in this aggression. The question is whether Obama will succeed in changing the system ?
The odds of success are not great , and that the process of change occurred it would be very expensive to America and Israel and their Arab allies , not war after the war , and the area will be very different than before , and may be the end of the pain , the pain of Arabs and Muslims in particular.